Commentary

Chinese Companies “Nearshoring in Mexico,” Making Washington Unhappy

Key Takeaways

  • The flow of trade from China to Mexico has surged in recent years and Chinese manufacturers are opening new facilities in Mexico at a rapid pace. China is Mexico’s fastest-growing source of inbound foreign investment, underscoring Mexico’s strategic importance to China’s global trade and investment strategy.
  • Chinese firms increasingly aim to leverage Mexico as a hub for re-export, allowing Chinese goods to circumvent U.S. tariffs and trade restrictions on products imported directly from China. As impediments to direct U.S.-China trade have expanded, in 2023 Mexico became the United States’ top trading partner—a position held by China for two decades.
  • This trend is attracting negative attention from U.S. lawmakers, who are speaking out against China utilizing Mexico even as required renegotiations of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) approach in 2026. U.S. policymakers have called for increased tariffs and stricter ‘rules of origin’ to slow down the expansion of Chinese transplants in Mexico. Such policies could add to Washington-Mexico political troubles and lead to new compliance burdens for U.S. companies that produce in Mexico, among other business impacts.

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