TAG Senior Advisor Dr. Evan Medeiros joins a conversation with Gideon Rachman, chief foreign affairs commentator of the Financial Times, and Jude Blanchette, head of the China program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
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“It’s literally been one disaster after another,” said Evan Medeiros, a professor at Georgetown University who served as a national security official in the administration headed by President Barack Obama. Xi’s third term, which began in March 2023, “has been full of policy failures and challenges”.
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“Is this meeting going to improve the relationship? The answer is no, but that’s not the objective – the objective is to frame and contain the risks of it worsening,” said Kurt Tong, a former senior US diplomat in Asia who’s now a managing partner at the Asia Group. He characterized the results as “relatively small” deliverables.
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Chinese President Xi Jinping visited the United States for the first time in six years this week, announcing with U.S. President Joe Biden a range of new collaborations between the world’s two biggest economies.
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Presidents Joe Biden and Xi Jinping emerged from their first meeting in a year betting that a handful of small victories will arrest a surge in US-China tensions that has unnerved neighboring nations and threatened global economic growth.
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Wednesday in San Francisco, President Biden met face-to-face with Chinese leader Xi Jinping for the first time in a year. The two leaders are announcing agreements on military communication and a crackdown on the Chinese chemicals used to make fentanyl.
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Outside voices: Measuring, skeptically, the Biden trade agenda
November 10, 2023 at 8:00 AM
“Count me skeptical,” writes Mark Linscott, senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s South Asia Center, about potential for the administration’s “signature effort in Asia,” the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity, to deliver on its promises “to fill the vacuum left by abandonment of what is now the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership.”
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Tong, a former U.S. ambassador to APEC and consul general and chief of mission in Hong Kong and Macau, expects no big agreements from a Biden-Xi meeting. However, he said it would be “extraordinarily important.”
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In recent years, global trade relationships have shifted substantially, in many ways reversing a decades-long multilateral drive toward more open trade. I know how dizzying these shifts have been from my own experience as a US trade negotiator over the past three decades. It’s too early to tell whether these shifts are a temporary setback or, instead, a terminus for the multilateral trading system, but it’s not too soon to assess how US policies are faring amid these changes.
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The mini summit will be “a critical means to be able to prevent miscalculation from occurring based on a growing set of challenges between the two militaries and it would be disastrous if the meeting somehow was canceled,” said Nirav Patel, former deputy assistant secretary of State in the Obama administration and currently the CEO of the U.S.-based Asia Group consultancy.
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