Commentary

Opposition Wins South Korea’s Legislative Election, Presenting Major Challenge for Yoon Administration

Key Takeaways

  • The opposition bloc won South Korea’s 22nd National Assembly Election on April 10, securing 189 of the 300 seats – with the main opposition Democratic Party taking 175 – presenting significant challenges for President Yoon and the PPP for the remaining three years of Yoon’s presidency.
  • President Yoon and the ruling People Power Party (PPP) saw its support sharply decline in the weeks leading to the elections amid the prolonged physicians’ strike and other political missteps. Synergizing with the emergence of a strong left-leaning Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) led by former Justice Minister Cho Kuk, the DP was able to retain its stronghold in large parts of Incheon, Gyeonggi Province, and Seoul.
  • The political landscape in South Korea is expected to be highly contentious and fraught. Although the opposition bloc failed to win a supermajority of 200 seats, the opposition secured a landslide victory that will allow them to introduce politically controversial special investigations and contentious legislation through the “fast-track” process, and halt filibusters.
  • President Yoon’s April 11 statement on his intent to change the administration’s approach to governing and overhaul the Presidential Office indicates potential room for collaboration with the opposition.
  • DP leader Lee Jae-myung and RKP leader Cho Kuk have strengthened their political positions. However, coherency within the opposition bloc remains in question, and their respective legal challenges will continue to loom large.
  • With party leader Han Dong-hoon resigning on April 11, the PPP will seek to revamp itself ahead of the presidential election in March 2027. Its strongerthan-anticipated performance in crucial swing districts in Seoul and the election of a few veteran politicians capable of redirecting the party present a silver lining for the beleaguered ruling party.

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