Author name: Rivan Dwiastono

1. Executive Summary The current trajectory of the Iran conflict points toward continued escalation rather than near-term de-escalation, with both Washington and Tehran operating from positions of overconfidence and widening maximalist demands. The United States appears focused on coercive pressure aimed at capitulation rather than traditional negotiation, while Iran — despite military setbacks — believes […]

For businesses, the EU’s CBAM is increasing compliance burdens and financial obligation, but it is also opening green tech and supply-chain opportunities.  In January 2026, the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) moved from a transitional carbon reporting regime to enforcement with real financial and compliance consequences for exporters.   As free allowances under the EU